Value bet: Spartak Varna to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Varna to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.43
Spartak Varna vs Montana preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Varna host Montana in the First League on Tuesday 3 March, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Stadion Spartak.
Form guide
Spartak Varna's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Arda Kardzhali 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Montana's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Botev Plovdiv 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Spartak Varna and 1.0 for Montana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Spartak Varna to win at 2.30 – 48% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Spartak Varna 1–0 Montana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Varna48%fair 2.07 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.10
Montana28%fair 3.59 · @2.95
2.62Expected goals
1.63Spartak Varna xG
0.99Montana xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.6 – 1.0 Montana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Varna to win✓
48%
2.07
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Varna / FT Spartak Varna✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.43
–
Form
Spartak Varna – last 3
LDD
27 Feb
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Montana – last 3
DLL
27 Feb
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Dobrudzha
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Varna and Montana.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Montana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Montana?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montana 28%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Montana?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Montana?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–0 Montana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Montana?
Spartak Varna vs Montana (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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