Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.79
Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Arda Kardzhali take on Spartak Varna on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 11:45 (WAT) at Arena Arda. Arda Kardzhali are 6th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Spartak Varna sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Arda Kardzhali and 0.5 for Spartak Varna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Spartak Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arda Kardzhali68%fair 1.47 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.90
Spartak Varna11%fair 9.04 · @8.20
2.34Expected goals
1.80Arda Kardzhali xG
0.55Spartak Varna xG
48%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
0–010%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.8 – 0.5 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arda Kardzhali to win✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Double chance
Arda Kardzhali or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Arda Kardzhali ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arda Kardzhali / FT Arda Kardzhali✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.79
–
Form
Arda Kardzhali – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Beroe
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 2
DD
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arda Kardzhali and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spartak Varna 11%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?
Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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