Value bet: Montana to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.42
Montana vs Botev Plovdiv preview and prediction
The match
Montana host Botev Plovdiv in the First League on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 14:15 (WAT) at Ogosta Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Montana and 1.3 for Botev Plovdiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Montana to win at 3.35 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Montana 1–1 Botev Plovdiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montana33%fair 3.01 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Botev Plovdiv44%fair 2.25 · @2.10
2.41Expected goals
1.09Montana xG
1.32Botev Plovdiv xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Montana 1.1 – 1.3 Botev Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Plovdiv to win✗
44%
2.25
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.42
–
Form
Montana – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Dobrudzha
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Botev Plovdiv – last 2
WL
23 Feb
vs Ludogorets
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Levski Sofia
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montana and Botev Plovdiv.
What is the prediction for Montana vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Montana vs Botev Plovdiv?
On our numbers Montana have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botev Plovdiv 44%.
How many goals will there be in Montana vs Botev Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montana vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Montana 1–1 Botev Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Montana vs Botev Plovdiv?
Montana vs Botev Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
