Neftchi Baku travel to Şəhər stadionu in the Premyer Liqa on Saturday 23 May (12:00 WAT) to face Kapaz. Kapaz are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Neftchi Baku sit 1st on 24 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Kapaz's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Sabah FA 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Neftchi Baku's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Sabah FA 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Neftchi Baku arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Kapaz 1–3 Neftchi Baku.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Kapaz and 1.8 for Neftchi Baku. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kapaz 21%, draw 19%, Neftchi Baku 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kapaz 1–1 Neftchi Baku. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kapaz21%fair 4.75 · @5.10
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.80
Neftchi Baku60%fair 1.67 · @1.57
2.78Expected goals
0.95Kapaz xG
1.83Neftchi Baku xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
0–06%
From our goals model: Kapaz 1.0 – 1.8 Neftchi Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku?
On our numbers Kapaz have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Neftchi Baku 60%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 1–1 Neftchi Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku?
Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Şəhər stadionu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
