The Premyer Liqa sees Sabah FA take on Neftchi Baku on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Bank Respublika Arena. Sabah FA are 3rd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Neftchi Baku sit 1st on 24 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sabah FA's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Zira 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Neftchi Baku's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Karvan 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for Sabah FA and 1.0 for Neftchi Baku. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sabah FA 58%, draw 19%, Neftchi Baku 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sabah FA 1–1 Neftchi Baku. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sabah FA58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.55
Neftchi Baku23%fair 4.44 · @4.20
2.86Expected goals
1.84Sabah FA xG
1.02Neftchi Baku xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sabah FA 1.8 – 1.0 Neftchi Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabah FA to win✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
Sabah FA ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.46
–
Form
Sabah FA – last 6
WLWWWW
13 May
vs Zira
2–1
W
8 May
vs Kapaz
0–1
L
3 May
@ Şamaxı FK
3–0
W
27 Apr
vs Karvan
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Qarabag
2–1
W
7 Apr
@ Araz
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Neftchi Baku – last 6
WWDWWW
5 May
@ Karvan
3–0
W
30 Apr
vs Qarabag
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Zira
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Sumqayıt
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Imisli FK
6–0
W
15 Mar
@ Qabala
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabah FA and Neftchi Baku.
What is the prediction for Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku?
On our numbers Sabah FA have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Neftchi Baku 23%.
How many goals will there be in Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku?
Our predicted score is Sabah FA 1–1 Neftchi Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku?
Sabah FA vs Neftchi Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bank Respublika Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
