Sumqayıt travel to Zira Stadium in the Premyer Liqa on Sunday 17 May (15:00 WAT) to face Zira. Zira are 5th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Sumqayıt sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Zira's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sumqayıt's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Qabala 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Zira 2–0 Sumqayıt.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Zira and 0.7 for Sumqayıt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zira 63%, draw 20%, Sumqayıt 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Zira 1–0 Sumqayıt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zira63%fair 1.59 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.30
Sumqayıt17%fair 5.73 · @5.00
2.44Expected goals
1.71Zira xG
0.73Sumqayıt xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Zira 1.7 – 0.7 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zira vs Sumqayıt?
On our numbers Zira have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sumqayıt 17%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Sumqayıt?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–0 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Zira vs Sumqayıt (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
