University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Midlands Wanderers to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversity of Pretoria to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.53
University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
University of Pretoria host Midlands Wanderers in the 1st Division on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Tuks Stadium. University of Pretoria are 12th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Midlands Wanderers sit 13th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
University of Pretoria's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Milford FC 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Midlands Wanderers's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Lerumo Lions 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Midlands Wanderers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for University of Pretoria and 1.1 for Midlands Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: University of Pretoria 39%, draw 25%, Midlands Wanderers 37%.
Value angle: Midlands Wanderers to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: University of Pretoria 1–1 Midlands Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
University of Pretoria39%fair 2.59 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Midlands Wanderers37%fair 2.72 · @2.90
2.30Expected goals
1.17University of Pretoria xG
1.13Midlands Wanderers xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: University of Pretoria 1.2 – 1.1 Midlands Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
University of Pretoria to win✓
39%
2.59
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT University of Pretoria / FT University of Pretoria✓
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.53
–
Form
University of Pretoria – last 6
LLDLLW
10 May
@ Milford FC
0–2
L
22 Apr
@ Hungry Lions
0–1
L
17 Apr
vs Gomora United FC
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Highbury
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ The Bees
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Venda FC
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Midlands Wanderers – last 6
DDLWWD
10 May
vs Lerumo Lions
1–1
D
6 May
@ Gomora United FC
1–1
D
1 May
@ Highbury
1–3
L
21 Apr
vs Upington City
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Baroka FC
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Hungry Lions
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between University of Pretoria and Midlands Wanderers.
What is the prediction for University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers?
On our numbers University of Pretoria have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Midlands Wanderers 37%.
How many goals will there be in University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers?
Our predicted score is University of Pretoria 1–1 Midlands Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers?
University of Pretoria vs Midlands Wanderers (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Tuks Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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