Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Baroka FC vs Upington City preview and prediction
The match
The 1st Division sees Baroka FC take on Upington City on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Mafori Mphahlele Stadium.
Form guide
Baroka FC's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Cape Town City 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Upington City's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Casric Stars 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Upington City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Baroka FC and 1.4 for Upington City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baroka FC 31%, draw 21%, Upington City 48%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Baroka FC 1–1 Upington City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baroka FC31%fair 3.20 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Upington City48%fair 2.09 · @2.10
2.36Expected goals
1.01Baroka FC xG
1.35Upington City xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: Baroka FC 1.0 – 1.4 Upington City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Upington City to win✗
48%
2.09
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Upington City / FT Upington City✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.85
–
Form
Baroka FC – last 6
LLDLDL
10 May
@ Cape Town City
0–1
L
1 May
@ Casric Stars
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Gomora United FC
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Midlands Wanderers
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Venda FC
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ University of Pretoria
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Upington City – last 5
LLWDW
10 May
vs Casric Stars
0–2
L
21 Apr
@ Midlands Wanderers
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Venda FC
3–1
W
1 Apr
@ Black Leopards
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Lerumo Lions
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baroka FC and Upington City.
What is the prediction for Baroka FC vs Upington City?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Baroka FC vs Upington City?
On our numbers Baroka FC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Upington City 48%.
How many goals will there be in Baroka FC vs Upington City?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baroka FC vs Upington City?
Our predicted score is Baroka FC 1–1 Upington City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Baroka FC vs Upington City?
Baroka FC vs Upington City (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mafori Mphahlele Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Black Leopards0
Kruger United2