Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNeftchi Baku to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.64
Zira vs Neftchi Baku preview and prediction
The match
Neftchi Baku travel to Zira Stadium in the Premyer Liqa on Friday 17 April (16:30 WAT) to face Zira. Zira are 5th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Neftchi Baku sit 1st on 24 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Zira's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Şamaxı FK 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Neftchi Baku's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Sumqayıt 3–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Zira and 1.3 for Neftchi Baku. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zira 34%, draw 26%, Neftchi Baku 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Zira 1–1 Neftchi Baku. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zira34%fair 2.97 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.90
Neftchi Baku41%fair 2.46 · @2.50
2.40Expected goals
1.13Zira xG
1.27Neftchi Baku xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Zira 1.1 – 1.3 Neftchi Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi Baku to win✗
41%
2.46
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi Baku / FT Neftchi Baku✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.64
–
Form
Zira – last 6
DWWDWW
7 Apr
vs Şamaxı FK
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Turan
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Karvan
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Kapaz
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Sumqayıt
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Araz
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Neftchi Baku – last 6
WWWLDW
5 Apr
@ Sumqayıt
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Imisli FK
6–0
W
15 Mar
@ Qabala
3–1
W
9 Mar
vs Turan
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Keshla FC
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Kapaz
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zira and Neftchi Baku.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Zira vs Neftchi Baku?
On our numbers Zira have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Neftchi Baku 41%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Neftchi Baku?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Neftchi Baku?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–1 Neftchi Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Neftchi Baku?
Zira vs Neftchi Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
