Turan travel to SOCAR Polymer Arena in the Premyer Liqa on Friday 17 April (14:00 WAT) to face Araz. Araz are 12th with 4 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Turan sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Araz's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 2–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Turan's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Imisli FK 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Araz and 1.4 for Turan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Araz 32%, draw 23%, Turan 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Araz 1–1 Turan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Araz32%fair 3.16 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Turan46%fair 2.19 · @2.15
2.58Expected goals
1.14Araz xG
1.44Turan xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Araz 1.1 – 1.4 Turan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turan to win✓
46%
2.19
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turan / FT Turan✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.18
–
Form
Araz – last 6
LWWLLW
7 Apr
vs Sabah FA
2–4
L
18 Mar
@ Keshla FC
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Karvan
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Qarabag
0–6
L
27 Feb
vs Zira
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Karvan
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Turan – last 6
DLDWWD
7 Apr
@ Imisli FK
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Zira
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Kapaz
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Neftchi Baku
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Kapaz
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Araz and Turan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Araz vs Turan?
On our numbers Araz have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Turan 46%.
How many goals will there be in Araz vs Turan?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araz vs Turan?
Our predicted score is Araz 1–1 Turan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Araz vs Turan?
Araz vs Turan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at SOCAR Polymer Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
