Value bet: Sabah FA to win @ 1.64 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSabah FA to win ✓66% · @1.64
Double chanceSabah FA or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.14
Araz vs Sabah FA preview and prediction
The match
Sabah FA travel to Liv Bona Dea Arena in the Premyer Liqa on Tuesday 7 April (16:30 WAT) to face Araz. Araz are 12th with 4 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Sabah FA sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Araz's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Keshla FC 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sabah FA's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Qarabag 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Araz and 2.1 for Sabah FA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Araz 12%, draw 22%, Sabah FA 66%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Sabah FA to win at 1.64 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Araz 0–2 Sabah FA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Araz12%fair 8.39 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.55
Sabah FA66%fair 1.50 · @1.64
2.88Expected goals
0.79Araz xG
2.09Sabah FA xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Araz 0.8 – 2.1 Sabah FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabah FA to win✓
66%
1.50
1.64 ▲
Double chance
Sabah FA or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.33
Half-time result
Sabah FA ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.14
–
Form
Araz – last 6
WWLLWW
18 Mar
@ Keshla FC
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Karvan
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Qarabag
0–6
L
27 Feb
vs Zira
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Karvan
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Sumqayıt
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sabah FA – last 6
DWWWDW
3 Apr
@ Qarabag
2–2
D
19 Mar
vs Sumqayıt
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Mil-Muğan
5–0
W
10 Mar
vs Qabala
7–1
W
1 Mar
@ Qarabag
3–3
D
22 Feb
vs Kapaz
1–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Araz and Sabah FA.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Araz vs Sabah FA?
On our numbers Araz have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sabah FA 66%.
How many goals will there be in Araz vs Sabah FA?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araz vs Sabah FA?
Our predicted score is Araz 0–2 Sabah FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Araz vs Sabah FA?
Araz vs Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Liv Bona Dea Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
