Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.61
Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK preview and prediction
The match
Imisli FK travel to Palms Sports Arena in the Premyer Liqa on Friday 20 March (16:15 WAT) to face Neftchi Baku. Neftchi Baku are 1st with 24 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Imisli FK sit 8th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Neftchi Baku's last 4: WLDW Most recently they beat Qabala 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Imisli FK's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 0–5 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Neftchi Baku arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Neftchi Baku and 0.5 for Imisli FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Neftchi Baku 69%, draw 22%, Imisli FK 9%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Neftchi Baku 1–0 Imisli FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Neftchi Baku69%fair 1.45 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.65
Imisli FK9%fair 10.77 · @5.60
2.32Expected goals
1.81Neftchi Baku xG
0.51Imisli FK xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Neftchi Baku 1.8 – 0.5 Imisli FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi Baku to win✓
69%
1.45
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Neftchi Baku or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Neftchi Baku ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi Baku / FT Neftchi Baku✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.61
–
Form
Neftchi Baku – last 4
WLDW
15 Mar
@ Qabala
3–1
W
9 Mar
vs Turan
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Keshla FC
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Kapaz
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Imisli FK – last 5
LDDDL
14 Mar
vs Sabah FA
0–5
L
8 Mar
@ Keshla FC
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Turan
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Keshla FC
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Qarabag
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neftchi Baku and Imisli FK.
What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK?
On our numbers Neftchi Baku have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Imisli FK 9%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK?
Our predicted score is Neftchi Baku 1–0 Imisli FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK?
Neftchi Baku vs Imisli FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Palms Sports Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
