Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Turan to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNeftchi Baku to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.64
Neftchi Baku vs Turan preview and prediction
The match
Neftchi Baku host Turan in the Premyer Liqa on Monday 9 March, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Palms Sports Arena. Neftchi Baku are 1st with 24 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Turan sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Turan's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Kapaz 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 0.0 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Neftchi Baku and 1.0 for Turan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Neftchi Baku 41%, draw 26%, Turan 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Turan to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Neftchi Baku 1–1 Turan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Neftchi Baku41%fair 2.43 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.95
Turan33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
2.19Expected goals
1.17Neftchi Baku xG
1.02Turan xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Neftchi Baku 1.2 – 1.0 Turan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi Baku to win✗
41%
2.43
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi Baku / FT Neftchi Baku✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.64
–
Form
Neftchi Baku – last 2
DW
28 Feb
@ Keshla FC
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Kapaz
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Turan – last 5
WDWWD
5 Mar
@ Kapaz
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Qabala
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zira
2–0
W
16 Feb
@ Keshla FC
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neftchi Baku and Turan.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
On our numbers Neftchi Baku have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Turan 33%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
Our predicted score is Neftchi Baku 1–1 Turan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
Neftchi Baku vs Turan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Palms Sports Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
