Value bet: Qabala to win @ 1.60 – our chance 67% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultQabala to win67% · @1.60
Double chanceQabala or draw88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.97
Qabala vs Karvan preview and prediction
The match
Karvan travel to face Qabala in the Premyer Liqa on Saturday 28 February (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Qabala's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Turan 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Qabala and 0.6 for Karvan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qabala 67%, draw 21%, Karvan 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Qabala to win at 1.60 – 67% on our numbers against 63% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Qabala 1–0 Karvan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qabala67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.55
Karvan12%fair 8.18 · @5.20
2.51Expected goals
1.87Qabala xG
0.64Karvan xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Qabala 1.9 – 0.6 Karvan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qabala to win
67%
1.50
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Qabala or draw
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Qabala ahead at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qabala / FT Qabala
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.97
–
Form
Qabala – last 3
LDL
24 Feb
vs Turan
0–3
L
20 Feb
@ Sumqayıt
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Sabah FA
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Karvan – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Araz
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qabala and Karvan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Qabala vs Karvan?
On our numbers Qabala have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karvan 12%.
How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Karvan?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Karvan?
Our predicted score is Qabala 1–0 Karvan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Qabala vs Karvan?
Qabala vs Karvan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
