Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTuran to win ✗70% · @1.45
Double chanceTuran or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.17
Turan vs Mil-Muğan preview and prediction
The match
Mil-Muğan travel to face Turan in the Premyer Liqa on Sunday 1 March (13:30 WAT). Turan are 2nd with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Mil-Muğan sit 8th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Turan's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Qabala 3–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Turan and 0.5 for Mil-Muğan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Turan 70%, draw 21%, Mil-Muğan 10%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Turan 1–0 Mil-Muğan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Turan70%fair 1.43 · @1.45
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.90
Mil-Muğan10%fair 10.36 · @6.50
2.20Expected goals
1.74Turan xG
0.46Mil-Muğan xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–017%
0–011%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Turan 1.7 – 0.5 Mil-Muğan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turan to win✗
70%
1.43
1.45
Double chance
Turan or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Turan ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turan / FT Turan✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.17
–
Form
Turan – last 3
WWD
24 Feb
@ Qabala
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zira
2–0
W
16 Feb
@ Keshla FC
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mil-Muğan – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Keshla FC
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Qarabag
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Turan and Mil-Muğan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Turan vs Mil-Muğan?
On our numbers Turan have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mil-Muğan 10%.
How many goals will there be in Turan vs Mil-Muğan?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Turan vs Mil-Muğan?
Our predicted score is Turan 1–0 Mil-Muğan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Turan vs Mil-Muğan?
Turan vs Mil-Muğan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
