Value bet: Sabah FA to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQarabag to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.33
Qarabag vs Sabah FA preview and prediction
The match
Sabah FA travel to Azersun Arena in the Premyer Liqa on Sunday 1 March (16:00 WAT) to face Qarabag. Qarabag are 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Sabah FA sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Qarabag's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Newcastle 2–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Qarabag and 1.2 for Sabah FA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qarabag 39%, draw 25%, Sabah FA 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Sabah FA to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Qarabag 1–1 Sabah FA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qarabag39%fair 2.59 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Sabah FA36%fair 2.77 · @3.30
2.46Expected goals
1.26Qarabag xG
1.21Sabah FA xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Qarabag 1.3 – 1.2 Sabah FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qarabag to win✗
39%
2.59
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qarabag / FT Qarabag✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.33
–
Form
Qarabag – last 3
LLW
24 Feb
@ Newcastle
2–3
L
18 Feb
vs Newcastle
1–6
L
14 Feb
@ Mil-Muğan
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sabah FA – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Kapaz
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Qabala
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qarabag and Sabah FA.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
On our numbers Qarabag have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sabah FA 36%.
How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
Our predicted score is Qarabag 1–1 Sabah FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Qarabag vs Sabah FA?
Qarabag vs Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Azersun Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
