Value bet: Araz to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZira to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 9.44
Araz vs Zira preview and prediction
The match
Zira travel to Liv Bona Dea Arena in the Premyer Liqa on Friday 27 February (15:00 WAT) to face Araz. Araz are 12th with 4 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Zira sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Araz and 1.4 for Zira. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Araz 34%, draw 23%, Zira 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Araz to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Araz 1–1 Zira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Araz34%fair 2.94 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Zira43%fair 2.34 · @2.15
2.56Expected goals
1.19Araz xG
1.37Zira xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Araz 1.2 – 1.4 Zira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zira to win✓
43%
2.34
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zira / FT Zira✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
9.44
–
Form
Araz – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Karvan
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Sumqayıt
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Zira – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Turan
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Araz and Zira.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Araz vs Zira?
On our numbers Araz have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zira 43%.
How many goals will there be in Araz vs Zira?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araz vs Zira?
Our predicted score is Araz 1–1 Zira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Araz vs Zira?
Araz vs Zira (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Liv Bona Dea Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
