Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSumqayıt to win ✗49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.47
Kapaz vs Sumqayıt preview and prediction
The match
The Premyer Liqa sees Kapaz take on Sumqayıt on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT). Kapaz are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Sumqayıt sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Kapaz and 1.5 for Sumqayıt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kapaz 29%, draw 22%, Sumqayıt 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Kapaz 1–1 Sumqayıt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kapaz29%fair 3.43 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Sumqayıt49%fair 2.04 · @2.15
2.52Expected goals
1.05Kapaz xG
1.47Sumqayıt xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kapaz 1.1 – 1.5 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sumqayıt to win✗
49%
2.04
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sumqayıt / FT Sumqayıt✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.47
–
Form
Kapaz – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ Sabah FA
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Neftchi Baku
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sumqayıt – last 2
DL
20 Feb
vs Qabala
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Araz
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kapaz and Sumqayıt.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?
On our numbers Kapaz have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sumqayıt 49%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 1–1 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?
Kapaz vs Sumqayıt (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
