SS Monopoli travel to Stadio Alberto Pinto in the Serie C Girone C on Sunday 15 March (17:30 WAT) to face Casertana. Casertana are 8th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while SS Monopoli sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Casertana's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Catania 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SS Monopoli's last 4: WLDW Most recently they beat Casarano 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Casertana and 1.1 for SS Monopoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Casertana 41%, draw 25%, SS Monopoli 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Casertana 1–1 SS Monopoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Casertana41%fair 2.43 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
SS Monopoli34%fair 2.98 · @3.25
2.37Expected goals
1.26Casertana xG
1.11SS Monopoli xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Casertana 1.3 – 1.1 SS Monopoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Casertana to win✓
41%
2.43
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Casertana / FT Casertana✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.47
–
Form
Casertana – last 3
DWL
9 Mar
@ Catania
0–0
D
5 Mar
vs Salernitana
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Siracusa
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SS Monopoli – last 4
WLDW
9 Mar
vs Casarano
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Giugliano
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Crotone
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Salernitana
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Casertana and SS Monopoli.
What is the prediction for Casertana vs SS Monopoli?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Casertana vs SS Monopoli?
On our numbers Casertana have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and SS Monopoli 34%.
How many goals will there be in Casertana vs SS Monopoli?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casertana vs SS Monopoli?
Our predicted score is Casertana 1–1 SS Monopoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Casertana vs SS Monopoli?
Casertana vs SS Monopoli (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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