Crotone host Salernitana in the Serie C Girone C on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Stadio Ezio Scida. Crotone are 20th with 1 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Salernitana sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Crotone's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat Trapani 1905 4–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Salernitana's last 4: WLDL Most recently they beat Latina 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Crotone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Crotone and 1.0 for Salernitana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Crotone 1–1 Salernitana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crotone47%fair 2.14 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.80
Salernitana30%fair 3.37 · @3.40
2.37Expected goals
1.36Crotone xG
1.01Salernitana xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Crotone 1.4 – 1.0 Salernitana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crotone to win✗
47%
2.14
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crotone / FT Crotone✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.86
–
Form
Crotone – last 4
WWDW
8 Mar
@ Trapani 1905
4–1
W
5 Mar
vs Cavese
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ SS Monopoli
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Foggia
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Salernitana – last 4
WLDL
8 Mar
vs Latina
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Casertana
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Catania
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs SS Monopoli
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crotone and Salernitana.
What is the prediction for Crotone vs Salernitana?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Crotone vs Salernitana?
On our numbers Crotone have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Salernitana 30%.
How many goals will there be in Crotone vs Salernitana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crotone vs Salernitana?
Our predicted score is Crotone 1–1 Salernitana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Crotone vs Salernitana?
Crotone vs Salernitana (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ezio Scida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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