Sorrento travel to Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla in the Serie C Girone C on Sunday 1 March (14:30 WAT) to face Cosenza. Cosenza are 19th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Sorrento sit 9th on 20 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Cosenza and 0.8 for Sorrento. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cosenza 63%, draw 20%, Sorrento 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Cosenza 1–0 Sorrento. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cosenza63%fair 1.58 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.60
Sorrento17%fair 5.99 · @5.10
2.54Expected goals
1.78Cosenza xG
0.76Sorrento xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cosenza 1.8 – 0.8 Sorrento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cosenza to win✓
63%
1.58
1.60
Double chance
Cosenza or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Cosenza ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cosenza / FT Cosenza✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.11
–
Form
Cosenza – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Atalanta II
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sorrento – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Siracusa
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cosenza and Sorrento.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cosenza vs Sorrento?
On our numbers Cosenza have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sorrento 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cosenza vs Sorrento?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cosenza vs Sorrento?
Our predicted score is Cosenza 1–0 Sorrento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cosenza vs Sorrento?
Cosenza vs Sorrento (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Benevento1
Siracusa4
Latina1