Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCrotone to win ✗40% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.76
SS Monopoli vs Crotone preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone C sees SS Monopoli take on Crotone on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani. SS Monopoli are 6th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Crotone sit 20th on 1 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for SS Monopoli and 1.2 for Crotone. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: SS Monopoli 34%, draw 26%, Crotone 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: SS Monopoli 1–1 Crotone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SS Monopoli34%fair 2.97 · @2.65
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.85
Crotone40%fair 2.47 · @2.65
2.21Expected goals
1.04SS Monopoli xG
1.17Crotone xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: SS Monopoli 1.0 – 1.2 Crotone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crotone to win✗
40%
2.47
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crotone / FT Crotone✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.76
–
Form
SS Monopoli – last 1
W
22 Feb
@ Salernitana
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Crotone – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Foggia
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Monopoli and Crotone.
What is the prediction for SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
On our numbers SS Monopoli have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Crotone 40%.
How many goals will there be in SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
Our predicted score is SS Monopoli 1–1 Crotone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
SS Monopoli vs Crotone (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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