Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArezzo to win ✗61% · @1.60
Double chanceArezzo or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Arezzo vs Perugia preview and prediction
The match
Perugia travel to Citta di Arezzo in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 15 March (14:30 WAT) to face Arezzo.
Form guide
Arezzo's last 4: WLDW Most recently they beat Campobasso FC 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Perugia's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Pontedera 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Perugia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Arezzo and 0.6 for Perugia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arezzo 61%, draw 26%, Perugia 13%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arezzo to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Arezzo 1–0 Perugia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arezzo61%fair 1.65 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
Perugia13%fair 7.73 · @5.50
2.27Expected goals
1.64Arezzo xG
0.63Perugia xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Arezzo 1.6 – 0.6 Perugia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arezzo to win✗
61%
1.65
1.60
Double chance
Arezzo or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arezzo / FT Arezzo✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.91
–
Form
Arezzo – last 4
WLDW
9 Mar
@ Campobasso FC
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Ternana
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Ravenna
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Gubbio
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Perugia – last 3
WWD
9 Mar
vs Pontedera
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ Livorno
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Athletic Carpi
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arezzo and Perugia.
Our pick is Arezzo to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Arezzo vs Perugia?
On our numbers Arezzo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Perugia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Arezzo vs Perugia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Perugia?
Our predicted score is Arezzo 1–0 Perugia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arezzo vs Perugia?
Arezzo vs Perugia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Citta di Arezzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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