Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAscoli to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceAscoli or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.05
Gubbio vs Ascoli preview and prediction
The match
Ascoli travel to Stadio Pietro Barbetti in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 15 March (14:30 WAT) to face Gubbio.
Form guide
Gubbio's last 4: WWLD Most recently they beat Athletic Carpi 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ascoli's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Ravenna 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ascoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.6 for Gubbio and 1.4 for Ascoli. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gubbio 15%, draw 26%, Ascoli 59%.
Safer route: Ascoli or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ascoli to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gubbio 0–1 Ascoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gubbio15%fair 6.62 · @4.40
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.80
Ascoli59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
1.97Expected goals
0.55Gubbio xG
1.42Ascoli xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–214%
0–014%
1–111%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Gubbio 0.6 – 1.4 Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ascoli to win✓
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ascoli or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli✓
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.05
–
Form
Gubbio – last 4
WWLD
4 Mar
vs Athletic Carpi
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Arezzo
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Pontedera
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ascoli – last 4
WWWW
9 Mar
vs Ravenna
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Sambenedettese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Pontedera
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Bra
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gubbio and Ascoli.
Our pick is Ascoli to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Gubbio vs Ascoli?
On our numbers Gubbio have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ascoli 59%.
How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Ascoli?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gubbio vs Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Gubbio 0–1 Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gubbio vs Ascoli?
Gubbio vs Ascoli (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus U232
Arezzo1