Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Pianese to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLivorno to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.03
Livorno vs Pianese preview and prediction
The match
Livorno host Pianese in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Armando Picchi. Livorno are 8th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Pianese sit 16th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Livorno and 1.1 for Pianese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Livorno 43%, draw 24%, Pianese 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Pianese to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Livorno 1–1 Pianese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Livorno43%fair 2.34 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.85
Pianese33%fair 3.01 · @3.60
2.31Expected goals
1.25Livorno xG
1.06Pianese xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Livorno 1.3 – 1.1 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livorno to win✗
43%
2.34
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livorno / FT Livorno✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.03
–
Form
Livorno
No recent results on record.
Pianese
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livorno and Pianese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Livorno vs Pianese?
On our numbers Livorno have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pianese 33%.
How many goals will there be in Livorno vs Pianese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livorno vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Livorno 1–1 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Livorno vs Pianese?
Livorno vs Pianese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Armando Picchi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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