Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPerugia to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chancePerugia or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.59
Perugia vs Athletic Carpi preview and prediction
The match
Perugia host Athletic Carpi in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadio Renato Curi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Perugia and 0.6 for Athletic Carpi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Perugia to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Perugia 1–0 Athletic Carpi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Perugia62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.10
Athletic Carpi12%fair 8.43 · @5.00
2.21Expected goals
1.63Perugia xG
0.58Athletic Carpi xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Perugia 1.6 – 0.6 Athletic Carpi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Perugia to win✗
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Perugia or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Perugia / FT Perugia✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.59
–
Form
Perugia
No recent results on record.
Athletic Carpi
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Perugia and Athletic Carpi.
What is the prediction for Perugia vs Athletic Carpi?
Our pick is Perugia to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Perugia vs Athletic Carpi?
On our numbers Perugia have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Athletic Carpi 12%.
How many goals will there be in Perugia vs Athletic Carpi?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Perugia vs Athletic Carpi?
Our predicted score is Perugia 1–0 Athletic Carpi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Perugia vs Athletic Carpi?
Perugia vs Athletic Carpi (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renato Curi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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