Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Pro Patria to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLecco to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.63
Pro Patria vs Lecco preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone A sees Pro Patria take on Lecco on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Carlo Speroni.
Form guide
Pro Patria's last 4: LDLL Most recently they lost to Lumezzane 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Lecco's last 4: DLDD Most recently they drew with Novara 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lecco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Pro Patria and 1.3 for Lecco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pro Patria 31%, draw 23%, Lecco 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Pro Patria to win at 3.60 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pro Patria 0–1 Lecco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pro Patria31%fair 3.26 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.95
Lecco46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
2.30Expected goals
0.99Pro Patria xG
1.30Lecco xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Pro Patria 1.0 – 1.3 Lecco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✓
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecco / FT Lecco✓
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.63
–
Form
Pro Patria – last 4
LDLL
15 Mar
@ Lumezzane
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Ospitaletto
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Union Brescia
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Trento
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Lecco – last 4
DLDD
15 Mar
vs Novara
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Renate
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Albinoleffe
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Virtus Verona
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pro Patria and Lecco.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Lecco?
On our numbers Pro Patria have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lecco 46%.
How many goals will there be in Pro Patria vs Lecco?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pro Patria vs Lecco?
Our predicted score is Pro Patria 0–1 Lecco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Pro Patria vs Lecco?
Pro Patria vs Lecco (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Carlo Speroni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter U231