Value bet: Lecco to win @ 1.86 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLecco to win ✗57% · @1.86
Double chanceLecco or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Lecco vs Renate preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone A sees Lecco take on Renate on Tuesday 3 March, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi. Lecco are 7th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Renate sit 17th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Lecco and 0.9 for Renate. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lecco 57%, draw 24%, Renate 19%.
Safer route: Lecco or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.82.
Value angle: Lecco to win at 1.86 – 57% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Lecco 1–0 Renate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lecco57%fair 1.75 · @1.86
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.24
Renate19%fair 5.37 · @3.75
2.53Expected goals
1.64Lecco xG
0.89Renate xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lecco 1.6 – 0.9 Renate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Lecco
Renate
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+35%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.82
1.07
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✗
57%
1.75
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Lecco or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.82
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecco / FT Lecco✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Lecco – last 2
DD
22 Feb
vs Albinoleffe
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Virtus Verona
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Renate – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Cittadella
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecco and Renate.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Lecco vs Renate?
On our numbers Lecco have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Renate 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Renate?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Renate?
Our predicted score is Lecco 1–0 Renate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Renate?
Lecco vs Renate (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pro Patria0
Inter U231
Triestina2
Virtus Verona0