Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Ospitaletto to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOspitaletto to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceOspitaletto or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone A sees Ospitaletto take on Pro Patria on Tuesday 3 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni.
Form guide
Ospitaletto's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Cittadella 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Ospitaletto and 0.9 for Pro Patria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ospitaletto 56%, draw 25%, Pro Patria 19%.
Safer route: Ospitaletto or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Ospitaletto to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ospitaletto or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ospitaletto 1–0 Pro Patria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ospitaletto56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.25
Pro Patria19%fair 5.32 · @3.50
2.58Expected goals
1.66Ospitaletto xG
0.92Pro Patria xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ospitaletto 1.7 – 0.9 Pro Patria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Ospitaletto
Pro Patria
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+10%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
+20%
Our expected goals here
1.69
1.00
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ospitaletto to win✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Ospitaletto or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ospitaletto / FT Ospitaletto✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.97
–
Form
Ospitaletto – last 3
DWD
27 Feb
@ Cittadella
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
2–1
W
16 Feb
vs Inter U23
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pro Patria – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ Union Brescia
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Trento
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ospitaletto and Pro Patria.
What is the prediction for Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria?
Our pick is Ospitaletto or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria?
On our numbers Ospitaletto have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pro Patria 19%.
How many goals will there be in Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria?
Our predicted score is Ospitaletto 1–0 Pro Patria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria?
Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.