Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Fateh to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceAl-Fateh or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Al-Fateh vs Al Najma preview and prediction
The match
Al Najma travel to Al Fateh Club Stadium in the Pro League on Thursday 14 May (16:55 WAT) to face Al-Fateh.
Form guide
Al-Fateh's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Al Najma's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Al-Ettifaq 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al-Fateh arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Al-Fateh and 1.0 for Al Najma. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Fateh 67%, draw 17%, Al Najma 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Fateh to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Al-Fateh 2–1 Al Najma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Fateh67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @4.75
Al Najma16%fair 6.08 · @6.00
3.31Expected goals
2.29Al-Fateh xG
1.02Al Najma xG
61%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Al-Fateh 2.3 – 1.0 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Fateh to win✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Double chance
Al-Fateh or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Half-time result
Al-Fateh ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Fateh / FT Al-Fateh✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Al-Fateh – last 6
LDWLLD
6 May
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–3
L
28 Apr
@ Al Shabab
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Okhdood
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Al Taawon
2–3
L
26 Feb
vs Damac
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Najma – last 6
DLLLLL
4 May
@ Al-Ettifaq
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ Al Khaleej Saihat
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Al Taawon
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
2–5
L
12 Mar
vs Damac
1–3
L
6 Mar
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Fateh and Al Najma.
Our pick is Al-Fateh to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al-Fateh have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Al Najma 16%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Fateh vs Al Najma?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Fateh vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al-Fateh 2–1 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Al-Fateh vs Al Najma?
Al-Fateh vs Al Najma (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 16:55 (West Africa Time) at Al Fateh Club Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
