Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Al-Ittihad FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Ittihad FC to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceAl-Ittihad FC or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC preview and prediction
The match
Al-Ittihad FC travel to Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium in the Pro League on Thursday 14 May (19:00 WAT) to face Al-Ettifaq. Al-Ettifaq are 7th with 19 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Al-Ittihad FC sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Al-Ettifaq's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Al Najma 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Al-Ittihad FC's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Al Kholood 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Al-Ettifaq and 2.0 for Al-Ittihad FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Ettifaq 19%, draw 21%, Al-Ittihad FC 60%.
Safer route: Al-Ittihad FC or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Al-Ittihad FC to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Ittihad FC or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Ettifaq19%fair 5.29 · @3.70
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.85
Al-Ittihad FC60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
3.00Expected goals
1.01Al-Ettifaq xG
1.99Al-Ittihad FC xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Al-Ettifaq 1.0 – 2.0 Al-Ittihad FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ittihad FC to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Al-Ittihad FC or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Half-time result
Al-Ittihad FC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ittihad FC / FT Al-Ittihad FC✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.04
–
Form
Al-Ettifaq – last 6
DWLLWL
4 May
vs Al Najma
0–0
D
30 Apr
@ Al Okhdood
3–1
W
15 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
0–1
L
9 Apr
vs Al Riyadh
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
3–2
W
13 Mar
@ Al-Fayha
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Ittihad FC – last 6
DWLDLW
4 May
vs Al Kholood
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Al Taawon
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Machida Zelvia
0–1
L
14 Apr
vs Al Wahda FC
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs NEOM
3–4
L
3 Apr
vs Al-Hazm
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad FC.
What is the prediction for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Our pick is Al-Ittihad FC or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC?
On our numbers Al-Ettifaq have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al-Ittihad FC 60%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Our predicted score is Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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