Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓77% · @1.08
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Al-Nassr vs Damac preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees Al-Nassr take on Damac on Thursday 21 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Al-Awwal Park.
Form guide
Al-Nassr's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Damac's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Al-Nassr arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.7 for Al-Nassr and 0.9 for Damac. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Nassr 77%, draw 13%, Damac 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 55% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Al-Nassr 2–1 Damac. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Nassr77%fair 1.30 · @1.08
Draw13%fair 7.76 · @9.20
Damac10%fair 9.70 · @29.00
3.64Expected goals
2.71Al-Nassr xG
0.93Damac xG
55%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 2.7 – 0.9 Damac expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
77%
1.30
1.08
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Form
Al-Nassr – last 6
DWWWWW
12 May
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
7 May
@ Al Shabab
4–2
W
29 Apr
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Al Ahli Doha
5–1
W
19 Apr
@ Al-Wasl FC
4–0
W
15 Apr
vs Al-Ettifaq
1–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Damac – last 6
LWDWWD
28 Apr
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Al Okhdood
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Al Najma
3–1
W
5 Mar
vs Al Riyadh
3–0
W
26 Feb
@ Al-Fateh
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and Damac.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Damac?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Damac 10%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Damac?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Damac?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 2–1 Damac, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Damac?
Al-Nassr vs Damac (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Awwal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Okhdood0