Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Al Kholood to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Kholood to win ✗45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees Al Kholood take on Al-Fateh on Thursday 21 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Ar-Rass Stadium. Al Kholood are 11th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Al-Fateh sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al Kholood's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Al Okhdood 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Al-Fateh's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Al Najma 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Al-Fateh arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.8 for Al Kholood and 1.3 for Al-Fateh. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Kholood 45%, draw 22%, Al-Fateh 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Al Kholood to win at 2.45 – 45% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Al Kholood 1–1 Al-Fateh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Kholood45%fair 2.21 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.75
Al-Fateh33%fair 3.03 · @2.55
3.04Expected goals
1.77Al Kholood xG
1.27Al-Fateh xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Al Kholood 1.8 – 1.3 Al-Fateh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Kholood to win✗
45%
2.21
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Kholood / FT Al Kholood✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Form
Al Kholood – last 6
DLDDLD
12 May
vs Al Okhdood
0–0
D
8 May
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–2
L
4 May
@ Al-Ittihad FC
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Al-Fayha
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–6
L
3 Apr
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Fateh – last 6
WLDWLL
14 May
vs Al Najma
2–0
W
6 May
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–3
L
28 Apr
@ Al Shabab
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Okhdood
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Al Taawon
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Kholood and Al-Fateh.
What is the prediction for Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh?
On our numbers Al Kholood have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al-Fateh 33%.
How many goals will there be in Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh?
Our predicted score is Al Kholood 1–1 Al-Fateh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh?
Al Kholood vs Al-Fateh (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Ar-Rass Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Damac1
Al Okhdood0