Value bet: Damac to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDamac to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceDamac or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.98
Damac vs Al Okhdood preview and prediction
The match
Damac host Al Okhdood in the Pro League on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Form guide
Damac's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Al Okhdood's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Al-Fateh 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Damac and 0.8 for Al Okhdood. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Damac 63%, draw 21%, Al Okhdood 16%.
Safer route: Damac or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Damac to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Damac 2–0 Al Okhdood. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Damac63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.75
Al Okhdood16%fair 6.34 · @4.60
2.72Expected goals
1.90Damac xG
0.82Al Okhdood xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Damac 1.9 – 0.8 Al Okhdood expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Damac to win✓
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Damac or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Damac ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Damac / FT Damac✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.98
–
Form
Damac – last 6
DWWDLL
9 Apr
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Al Najma
3–1
W
5 Mar
vs Al Riyadh
3–0
W
26 Feb
@ Al-Fateh
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Al Shabab
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Okhdood – last 3
WLL
5 Apr
vs Al-Fateh
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Al-Fateh
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Damac and Al Okhdood.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Damac vs Al Okhdood?
On our numbers Damac have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Okhdood 16%.
How many goals will there be in Damac vs Al Okhdood?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Damac vs Al Okhdood?
Our predicted score is Damac 2–0 Al Okhdood, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Damac vs Al Okhdood?
Damac vs Al Okhdood (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Najma1
Al Taawon2