Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Taawon to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Al Najma vs Al Taawon preview and prediction
The match
Al Najma host Al Taawon in the Pro League on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 17:10 (WAT) at Al-Najma Club Stadium.
Form guide
Al Najma's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Al-Nassr 2–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al Taawon's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with NEOM 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Al Taawon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Al Najma and 2.0 for Al Taawon. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Najma 21%, draw 20%, Al Taawon 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Al Najma 1–1 Al Taawon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Najma21%fair 4.81 · @4.60
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.70
Al Taawon59%fair 1.69 · @1.73
3.08Expected goals
1.09Al Najma xG
2.00Al Taawon xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.1 – 2.0 Al Taawon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Taawon to win✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Al Taawon ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Taawon / FT Al Taawon✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.08
–
Form
Al Najma – last 5
LLLLL
3 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
2–5
L
12 Mar
vs Damac
1–3
L
6 Mar
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–4
L
25 Feb
vs Al-Nassr
0–5
L
19 Feb
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
4.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al Taawon – last 4
DWDL
12 Mar
@ NEOM
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Al-Fateh
3–2
W
24 Feb
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Al-Fayha
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Al Taawon.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al Taawon?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Taawon 59%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Al Taawon?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Al Taawon?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–1 Al Taawon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Al Taawon?
Al Najma vs Al Taawon (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 17:10 (West Africa Time) at Al-Najma Club Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Damac2
Al Okhdood0