Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Hilal Saudi FC to win ✓79% · @1.07
Double chanceAl-Hilal Saudi FC or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.97
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma preview and prediction
The match
Al-Hilal Saudi FC host Al Najma in the Pro League on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Kingdom Arena.
Form guide
Al-Hilal Saudi FC's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Al Shabab 5–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.9 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC and 0.8 for Al Najma. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 79%, draw 13%, Al Najma 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–0 Al Najma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Hilal Saudi FC79%fair 1.26 · @1.07
Draw13%fair 7.84 · @10.25
Al Najma8%fair 12.22 · @26.00
3.72Expected goals
2.88Al-Hilal Saudi FC xG
0.84Al Najma xG
54%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
3–010%
2–18%
3–18%
1–07%
4–07%
From our goals model: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2.9 – 0.8 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win✓
79%
1.26
1.07
Double chance
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.57
Half-time result
Al-Hilal Saudi FC ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Hilal Saudi FC / FT Al-Hilal Saudi FC✓
56%
1.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.97
–
Form
Al-Hilal Saudi FC – last 4
WDWW
27 Feb
@ Al Shabab
5–3
W
24 Feb
@ Al Taawon
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Al Wahda FC
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Al-Ettifaq
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Najma – last 2
LL
25 Feb
vs Al-Nassr
0–5
L
19 Feb
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al Najma.
What is the prediction for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al-Hilal Saudi FC have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Al Najma 8%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–0 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Kingdom Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
