Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Al Taawon to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Taawon to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh preview and prediction
The match
Al-Fateh travel to Al Taawon Arena in the Pro League on Friday 6 March (20:00 WAT) to face Al Taawon. Al Taawon are 17th with 5 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Al-Fateh sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al-Fateh's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Damac 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Al Taawon and 1.1 for Al-Fateh. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Taawon 60%, draw 17%, Al-Fateh 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Al Taawon to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Al Taawon 1–1 Al-Fateh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Taawon60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @3.65
Al-Fateh24%fair 4.21 · @3.50
3.01Expected goals
1.92Al Taawon xG
1.08Al-Fateh xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Al Taawon 1.9 – 1.1 Al-Fateh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Taawon to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Half-time result
Al Taawon ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Taawon / FT Al Taawon✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Al Taawon – last 2
DL
24 Feb
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Al-Fayha
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Fateh – last 3
DWL
26 Feb
vs Damac
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Al Okhdood
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Taawon and Al-Fateh.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh?
On our numbers Al Taawon have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Al-Fateh 24%.
How many goals will there be in Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh?
Our predicted score is Al Taawon 1–1 Al-Fateh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh?
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Taawon Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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