Value bet: Al Riyadh to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Kholood to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh preview and prediction
The match
Al Kholood host Al Riyadh in the Pro League on Thursday 19 February, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Ar-Rass Stadium. Al Kholood are 11th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Al Riyadh sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Al Kholood and 1.2 for Al Riyadh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Kholood 46%, draw 21%, Al Riyadh 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Al Riyadh to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Al Kholood 1–1 Al Riyadh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Kholood46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.45
Al Riyadh33%fair 3.05 · @3.60
2.78Expected goals
1.54Al Kholood xG
1.24Al Riyadh xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Al Kholood 1.5 – 1.2 Al Riyadh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Kholood to win✗
46%
2.16
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Kholood / FT Al Kholood✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.48
–
Form
Al Kholood
No recent results on record.
Al Riyadh
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Kholood and Al Riyadh.
What is the prediction for Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh?
On our numbers Al Kholood have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Riyadh 33%.
How many goals will there be in Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh?
Our predicted score is Al Kholood 1–1 Al Riyadh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh?
Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ar-Rass Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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