Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Ahli Jeddah to win ✓76% · @1.11
Double chanceAl-Ahli Jeddah or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.15
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma preview and prediction
The match
Al Najma travel to King Abdullah Sports City in the Pro League on Thursday 19 February (20:00 WAT) to face Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.5 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 0.7 for Al Najma. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Ahli Jeddah 76%, draw 15%, Al Najma 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 54% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–0 Al Najma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Ahli Jeddah76%fair 1.32 · @1.11
Draw15%fair 6.79 · @8.50
Al Najma10%fair 10.25 · @21.00
3.21Expected goals
2.46Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
0.75Al Najma xG
54%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.5 – 0.7 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win✓
76%
1.32
1.11
Double chance
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.90
Half-time result
Al-Ahli Jeddah ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ahli Jeddah / FT Al-Ahli Jeddah✗
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.15
–
Form
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 2
WW
16 Feb
vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
4–3
W
13 Feb
@ Al Shabab
5–2
W
4.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al Najma
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Najma.
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al-Ahli Jeddah have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Al Najma 10%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–0 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma?
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Najma (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
