Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Reading U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReading U21 to win ✓64% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 preview and prediction
The match
Reading U21 host Derby County U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One on Monday 13 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Select Car Leasing Stadium. Reading U21 are 8th with 11 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Derby County U21 sit 18th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Reading U21's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Sunderland U21 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Derby County U21's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Sunderland U21 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Derby County U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Reading U21 and 1.1 for Derby County U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Reading U21 to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Reading U21 2–1 Derby County U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Reading U2164%fair 1.55 · @1.83
Draw14%fair 7.10 · @3.70
Derby County U2122%fair 4.64 · @3.25
3.29Expected goals
2.17Reading U21 xG
1.12Derby County U21 xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Reading U21 2.2 – 1.1 Derby County U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Reading U21 to win✓
64%
1.55
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Reading U21 ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Reading U21 / FT Reading U21✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Form
Reading U21 – last 6
DLLWWL
30 Mar
@ Sunderland U21
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Blackburn Rovers U21
1–3
L
20 Mar
vs Manchester United U21
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ West Ham United U21
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Everton U21
1–0
W
2 Mar
@ Wolves U21
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Derby County U21 – last 6
WWWWLD
6 Apr
vs Sunderland U21
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Manchester City U21
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Middlesbrough U21
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs West Ham United U21
4–2
W
2 Mar
@ West Bromwich Albion U21
2–4
L
23 Feb
@ Burnley U21
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Reading U21 and Derby County U21.
What is the prediction for Reading U21 vs Derby County U21?
Our pick is Reading U21 to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Reading U21 vs Derby County U21?
On our numbers Reading U21 have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Derby County U21 22%.
How many goals will there be in Reading U21 vs Derby County U21?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Reading U21 vs Derby County U21?
Our predicted score is Reading U21 2–1 Derby County U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Reading U21 vs Derby County U21?
Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Select Car Leasing Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
