Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Middlesbrough U21 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough U21 to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceMiddlesbrough U21 or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 preview and prediction
The match
Middlesbrough U21 travel to The Proctor Cars Stadium in the Premier League 2 Division One on Friday 20 March (20:00 WAT) to face Derby County U21. Derby County U21 are 18th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Middlesbrough U21 sit 29th on 3 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Derby County U21's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat West Ham United U21 4–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Middlesbrough U21's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Stoke City U21 6–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.4 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.3 for Derby County U21 and 2.3 for Middlesbrough U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Middlesbrough U21 or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Middlesbrough U21 or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Derby County U21 1–2 Middlesbrough U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derby County U2119%fair 5.22 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.75
Middlesbrough U2160%fair 1.66 · @1.75
3.59Expected goals
1.27Derby County U21 xG
2.32Middlesbrough U21 xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Derby County U21 1.3 – 2.3 Middlesbrough U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough U21 to win✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Middlesbrough U21 or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Middlesbrough U21 ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough U21 / FT Middlesbrough U21✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.60
–
Form
Derby County U21 – last 3
WLD
6 Mar
vs West Ham United U21
4–2
W
2 Mar
@ West Bromwich Albion U21
2–4
L
23 Feb
@ Burnley U21
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Middlesbrough U21 – last 5
WWLLW
13 Mar
vs Stoke City U21
6–1
W
6 Mar
@ Tottenham Hotspur U21
3–1
W
2 Mar
vs Birmingham City U21
1–4
L
20 Feb
@ Southampton U21
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Nottingham Forest U21
1–0
W
2.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derby County U21 and Middlesbrough U21.
What is the prediction for Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
Our pick is Middlesbrough U21 or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
On our numbers Derby County U21 have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Middlesbrough U21 60%.
How many goals will there be in Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
Our predicted score is Derby County U21 1–2 Middlesbrough U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at The Proctor Cars Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
