Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21 prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Middlesbrough U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough U21 to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceMiddlesbrough U21 or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21 preview and prediction
The match
Middlesbrough U21 host Stoke City U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Heritage Park. Middlesbrough U21 are 29th with 3 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Stoke City U21 sit 26th on 4 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Middlesbrough U21's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Tottenham Hotspur U21 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Stoke City U21's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Burnley U21 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Middlesbrough U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Middlesbrough U21 and 1.0 for Stoke City U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Middlesbrough U21 or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Middlesbrough U21 to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Middlesbrough U21 2–0 Stoke City U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Middlesbrough U2167%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.60
Stoke City U2113%fair 7.74 · @5.00
3.39Expected goals
2.40Middlesbrough U21 xG
0.99Stoke City U21 xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Middlesbrough U21 2.4 – 1.0 Stoke City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough U21 to win✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Double chance
Middlesbrough U21 or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Middlesbrough U21 ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough U21 / FT Middlesbrough U21✓
46%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Form
Middlesbrough U21 – last 4
WLLW
6 Mar
@ Tottenham Hotspur U21
3–1
W
2 Mar
vs Birmingham City U21
1–4
L
20 Feb
@ Southampton U21
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Nottingham Forest U21
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Stoke City U21 – last 3
LLL
9 Mar
vs Burnley U21
1–3
L
27 Feb
@ Norwich City U21
2–4
L
13 Feb
@ Ipswich Town U21
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough U21 and Stoke City U21.
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Our pick is Middlesbrough U21 to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21?
On our numbers Middlesbrough U21 have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stoke City U21 13%.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Our predicted score is Middlesbrough U21 2–0 Stoke City U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Heritage Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
