Newcastle United U21 vs Brighton U21 preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League 2 Division One sees Newcastle United U21 take on Brighton U21 on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Whitley Park. Newcastle United U21 are 28th with 4 points from 5 games (in the bottom half), while Brighton U21 sit 19th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.2 for Newcastle United U21 and 1.9 for Brighton U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Brighton U21 to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newcastle United U21 1–2 Brighton U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle United U2126%fair 3.80 · @2.90
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @3.50
Brighton U2157%fair 1.76 · @1.95
3.14Expected goals
1.21Newcastle United U21 xG
1.93Brighton U21 xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Newcastle United U21 1.2 – 1.9 Brighton U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton U21 to win✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Brighton U21 ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton U21 / FT Brighton U21✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.25
–
Form
Newcastle United U21 – last 2
WL
20 Feb
vs Fulham U21
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Arsenal U21
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Brighton U21 – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Birmingham City U21
3–2
W
16 Feb
@ Wolves U21
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle United U21 and Brighton U21.
What is the prediction for Newcastle United U21 vs Brighton U21?
Our pick is Brighton U21 to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Newcastle United U21 vs Brighton U21?
On our numbers Newcastle United U21 have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Brighton U21 57%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle United U21 vs Brighton U21?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United U21 vs Brighton U21?
Our predicted score is Newcastle United U21 1–2 Brighton U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Newcastle United U21 vs Brighton U21?
Newcastle United U21 vs Brighton U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Whitley Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
