Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21 prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Aston Villa U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAston Villa U21 to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21 preview and prediction
The match
Aston Villa U21 travel to Clayton Wood in the Premier League 2 Division One on Friday 17 April (19:00 WAT) to face Stoke City U21. Stoke City U21 are 26th with 4 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Aston Villa U21 sit 20th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Stoke City U21's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Fulham U21 3–2 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 3.4 conceded.
Aston Villa U21's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Middlesbrough U21 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Aston Villa U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.3 for Stoke City U21 and 2.3 for Aston Villa U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stoke City U21 22%, draw 18%, Aston Villa U21 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aston Villa U21 to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stoke City U21 1–2 Aston Villa U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stoke City U2122%fair 4.52 · @2.90
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @3.80
Aston Villa U2160%fair 1.66 · @1.91
3.58Expected goals
1.30Stoke City U21 xG
2.28Aston Villa U21 xG
70%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Stoke City U21 1.3 – 2.3 Aston Villa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa U21 to win✓
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Aston Villa U21 ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa U21 / FT Aston Villa U21✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.62
–
Form
Stoke City U21 – last 5
WLLLL
23 Mar
vs Fulham U21
3–2
W
13 Mar
@ Middlesbrough U21
1–6
L
9 Mar
vs Burnley U21
1–3
L
27 Feb
@ Norwich City U21
2–4
L
13 Feb
@ Ipswich Town U21
1–2
L
1.6Scored / game
3.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Aston Villa U21 – last 6
LWDWWL
10 Apr
vs Middlesbrough U21
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ Blackburn Rovers U21
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Brighton U21
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Leicester City U21
3–2
W
13 Mar
vs Norwich City U21
2–1
W
6 Mar
vs Manchester City U21
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City U21 and Aston Villa U21.
What is the prediction for Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Our pick is Aston Villa U21 to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
On our numbers Stoke City U21 have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aston Villa U21 60%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Our predicted score is Stoke City U21 1–2 Aston Villa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Clayton Wood.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
