Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21 preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League 2 Division One sees Burnley U21 take on Derby County U21 on Monday 23 February, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Lancashire County Ground. Burnley U21 are 27th with 4 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Derby County U21 sit 18th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.8 for Burnley U21 and 1.7 for Derby County U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 70%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Burnley U21 1–1 Derby County U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burnley U2139%fair 2.58 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.60
Derby County U2138%fair 2.65 · @2.62
3.56Expected goals
1.84Burnley U21 xG
1.72Derby County U21 xG
70%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: Burnley U21 1.8 – 1.7 Derby County U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burnley U21 to win✗
39%
2.58
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burnley U21 / FT Burnley U21✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.10
–
Form
Burnley U21 – last 1
D
16 Feb
@ Everton U21
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Derby County U21
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley U21 and Derby County U21.
What is the prediction for Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21?
On our numbers Burnley U21 have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Derby County U21 38%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21?
Our predicted score is Burnley U21 1–1 Derby County U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21?
Burnley U21 vs Derby County U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Lancashire County Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
