Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21 prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Manchester City U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester City U21 to win ✗63% · @1.48
Double chanceManchester City U21 or draw ✗83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.28
Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21 preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League 2 Division One sees Derby County U21 take on Manchester City U21 on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at The Proctor Cars Stadium. Derby County U21 are 18th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Manchester City U21 sit 22nd on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Derby County U21's last 4: WWLD Most recently they beat Middlesbrough U21 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Manchester City U21's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Birmingham City U21 5–1 away. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manchester City U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.3 for Derby County U21 and 2.6 for Manchester City U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derby County U21 17%, draw 20%, Manchester City U21 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Manchester City U21 to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Derby County U21 1–2 Manchester City U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derby County U2117%fair 5.77 · @4.60
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.50
Manchester City U2163%fair 1.59 · @1.48
3.91Expected goals
1.34Derby County U21 xG
2.57Manchester City U21 xG
58%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–27%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: Derby County U21 1.3 – 2.6 Manchester City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City U21 to win✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Double chance
Manchester City U21 or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Half-time result
Manchester City U21 ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City U21 / FT Manchester City U21✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.28
–
Form
Derby County U21 – last 4
WWLD
20 Mar
vs Middlesbrough U21
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs West Ham United U21
4–2
W
2 Mar
@ West Bromwich Albion U21
2–4
L
23 Feb
@ Burnley U21
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Manchester City U21 – last 5
WWWWW
20 Mar
@ Birmingham City U21
5–1
W
16 Mar
vs Liverpool U21
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Aston Villa U21
4–0
W
27 Feb
vs Nottingham Forest U21
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Wolves U21
6–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derby County U21 and Manchester City U21.
What is the prediction for Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21?
Our pick is Manchester City U21 to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21?
On our numbers Derby County U21 have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Manchester City U21 63%.
How many goals will there be in Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21?
Our predicted score is Derby County U21 1–2 Manchester City U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21?
Derby County U21 vs Manchester City U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at The Proctor Cars Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
