Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 22 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultReal Madrid III to win69% · @1.45

Double chanceReal Madrid III or draw88% · @1.06

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–013% · fair 7.42

Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II preview and prediction

The match

Rayo Vallecano II travel to Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3 in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 22 March (18:00 WAT) to face Real Madrid III.

Form guide

Real Madrid III's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Quintanar del Rey 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Rayo Vallecano II's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Orihuela 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.

Real Madrid III arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Real Madrid III and 0.7 for Rayo Vallecano II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 44%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Real Madrid III 69%, draw 19%, Rayo Vallecano II 12%.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Real Madrid III to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Real Madrid III 2–0 Rayo Vallecano II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Real Madrid III69%fair 1.45 · @1.45

Draw19%fair 5.32 · @3.80

Rayo Vallecano II12%fair 8.29 · @5.75

2.74Expected goals

2.04Real Madrid III xG

0.70Rayo Vallecano II xG

44%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%

1–013%

2–19%

1–19%

3–09%

0–06%

From our goals model: Real Madrid III 2.0 – 0.7 Rayo Vallecano II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Real Madrid III to win	69%	1.45	1.45
Double chance	Real Madrid III or draw	88%	1.14	1.06
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	56%	1.80	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.93	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	71%	1.42	–
Half-time result	Real Madrid III ahead at half-time	49%	2.05	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Real Madrid III / FT Real Madrid III	45%	2.24	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–0	13%	7.42	–

Form

Real Madrid III – last 4

WWLL

15 Mar	@ Quintanar del Rey	2–1	W
8 Mar	vs Tenerife II	4–0	W
1 Mar	@ Navalcarnero	0–2	L
15 Feb	@ Socuéllamos	1–2	L

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

Rayo Vallecano II – last 5

DLLLL

15 Mar	vs Orihuela	0–0	D
8 Mar	@ Colonia Moscardó	0–4	L
1 Mar	vs Tenerife II	1–4	L
22 Feb	@ Las Palmas II	0–2	L
15 Feb	vs SS Reyes	0–1	L

0.2Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

20%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Team

Pts

+11

-11

-1

-1

-1

-2

-4

-10

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Our pick is Real Madrid III to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II?

On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rayo Vallecano II 12%.

How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Our predicted score is Real Madrid III 2–0 Rayo Vallecano II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Real Madrid III vs Rayo Vallecano II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes