The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Xerez Deportivo take on Melilla on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín.
Form guide
Xerez Deportivo's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Lorca Deportiva 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Melilla's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Antoniano 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Xerez Deportivo and 1.0 for Melilla. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.00. Predicted score: Xerez Deportivo 1–1 Melilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xerez Deportivo38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.70
Melilla35%fair 2.89 · @3.00
2.16Expected goals
1.12Xerez Deportivo xG
1.04Melilla xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Xerez Deportivo 1.1 – 1.0 Melilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xerez Deportivo to win✓
38%
2.61
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xerez Deportivo / FT Xerez Deportivo✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.76
–
Form
Xerez Deportivo – last 5
LDLDD
8 Mar
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Antoniano
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Real Jaén
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Extremadura 1924
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Puente Genil
1–1
D
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Melilla – last 3
DLL
8 Mar
vs Antoniano
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Ucam Murcia
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Real Jaén
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xerez Deportivo and Melilla.
What is the prediction for Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla?
On our numbers Xerez Deportivo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Melilla 35%.
How many goals will there be in Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla?
Our predicted score is Xerez Deportivo 1–1 Melilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla?
Xerez Deportivo vs Melilla (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Antoniano2
Almería II0
La Unión Atlético1
Deportiva Minera2
Real Jaén1
Yeclano0
Lorca Deportiva0
Estepona2