Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Lorca Deportiva take on Estepona on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco.
Form guide
Lorca Deportiva's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Xerez Deportivo 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Estepona's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat La Unión Atlético 3–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Lorca Deportiva and 1.0 for Estepona. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Estepona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lorca Deportiva44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.80
Estepona32%fair 3.15 · @3.20
2.19Expected goals
1.22Lorca Deportiva xG
0.97Estepona xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lorca Deportiva 1.2 – 1.0 Estepona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lorca Deportiva to win✗
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorca Deportiva / FT Lorca Deportiva✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.32
–
Form
Lorca Deportiva – last 3
WLW
8 Mar
vs Xerez Deportivo
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Extremadura 1924
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Antoniano
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Estepona – last 4
WLWW
8 Mar
vs La Unión Atlético
3–2
W
1 Mar
@ Puente Genil
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Ucam Murcia
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorca Deportiva and Estepona.
What is the prediction for Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona?
On our numbers Lorca Deportiva have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estepona 32%.
How many goals will there be in Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona?
Our predicted score is Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Estepona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona?
Lorca Deportiva vs Estepona (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Almería II0
Xerez Deportivo2
Melilla1
La Unión Atlético1
Deportiva Minera2
Real Jaén1
Yeclano0