Sestao River travel to Estadio Las Llanas in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 22 February (17:00 WAT) to face Gernika.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Gernika and 1.1 for Sestao River. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gernika 34%, draw 27%, Sestao River 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.20.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 2.00, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gernika 1–1 Sestao River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gernika34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.62
Sestao River39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
2.09Expected goals
1.00Gernika xG
1.09Sestao River xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Gernika 1.0 – 1.1 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✗
39%
2.59
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.44
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.41
–
Form
Gernika
No recent results on record.
Sestao River – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Real Unión
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gernika and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Gernika vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Gernika vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Gernika have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sestao River 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gernika vs Sestao River?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gernika vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Gernika 1–1 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gernika vs Sestao River?
Gernika vs Sestao River (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Llanas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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